Axt Inc Stock Performance
| AXTI Stock | USD 23.81 0.27 1.15% |
AXT holds a performance score of 18 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 2.35, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, AXT will likely underperform. Use AXT value at risk, as well as the relationship between the skewness and day median price , to analyze future returns on AXT.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Solid
Weak | Strong |
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in AXT Inc are ranked lower than 18 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite fairly fragile basic indicators, AXT demonstrated solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return 1.15 | Five Day Return (3.45) | Year To Date Return 42.06 | Ten Year Return 819.31 | All Time Return 124.09 |
1 | Disposition of 3000 shares by Morris Young of AXT subject to Rule 16b-3 | 11/21/2025 |
2 | Disposition of 25000 shares by Chang David C of AXT at 10.72 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 11/28/2025 |
3 | AXT, Inc.s percent Share Price Surge Not Quite Adding Up | 12/19/2025 |
4 | Why AXT Is Down 8.3 percent After Indium Phosphide Export Constraints and Capacity Expansion Plans - And Whats Next | 01/14/2026 |
5 | AXT Sets New 52-Week High Still a Buy | 01/15/2026 |
6 | A Look At AXT Valuation After Needham Downgrade And Recent Share Price Surge | 01/21/2026 |
7 | 12 Information Technology Stocks Moving In Fridays Intraday Session - Benzinga | 01/30/2026 |
8 | Investment Firm Maytree Bought Over 11 Million in AXTI. Is the Stock a Buy | 02/03/2026 |
9 | AXT Weighs AI Data Center Opportunity With Tighter Board Oversight | 02/05/2026 |
10 | AXT Shares Gap Up Should You Buy | 02/11/2026 |
11 | AXT Non-GAAP EPS of -0.05 beats by 0.01, revenue of 23M misses by 1.24M | 02/19/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 50.1 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -4.4 M |
AXT Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 934.00 in AXT Inc on November 22, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of 1,447 from holding AXT Inc or generate 154.93% return on investment over 90 days. AXT Inc is currently generating 1.9446% in daily expected returns and assumes 8.5315% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 76% of stocks are less volatile than AXT, and 61% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
AXT Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of AXT Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 23.81 | 90 days | 23.81 | about 9.79 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of AXT to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 9.79 (This AXT Inc probability density function shows the probability of AXT Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
AXT Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for AXT
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AXT Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of AXT's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
AXT Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. AXT is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the AXT's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold AXT Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of AXT within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.44 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.35 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.25 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.18 |
AXT Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of AXT for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for AXT Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| AXT Inc is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| AXT Inc appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 99.36 M. Net Loss for the year was (11.79 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 10.82 M. | |
| AXT Inc currently holds about 40.12 M in cash with (12.11 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.95. | |
| AXT Inc has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: AXT Non-GAAP EPS of -0.05 beats by 0.01, revenue of 23M misses by 1.24M |
AXT Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of AXT Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential AXT's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AXT's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 43.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 22.8 M |
AXT Fundamentals Growth
AXT Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of AXT, and AXT fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on AXT Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | -0.0988 | ||||
| Return On Asset | -0.0441 | ||||
| Profit Margin | (0.25) % | ||||
| Operating Margin | (0.04) % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 1.38 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 55.27 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 33.19 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 7.63 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 14.56 X | ||||
| Revenue | 99.36 M | ||||
| Gross Profit | 10.82 M | ||||
| EBITDA | (338 K) | ||||
| Net Income | (11.79 M) | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 40.12 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 0.95 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 49.78 M | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 0.15 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 2.49 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 3.96 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | (12.11 M) | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | (0.53) X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 1.32 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 339.31 M | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (43.66 M) | ||||
| Working Capital | 84.1 M | ||||
| Current Asset | 96.89 M | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 12.84 M | ||||
About AXT Performance
By evaluating AXT's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into AXT's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if AXT has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if AXT has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 370.05 | 216.17 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | (0.03) | (0.03) | |
| Return On Capital Employed | (0.05) | (0.05) | |
| Return On Assets | (0.03) | (0.03) | |
| Return On Equity | (0.05) | (0.05) |
Things to note about AXT Inc performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about AXT for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for AXT Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| AXT Inc is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| AXT Inc appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 99.36 M. Net Loss for the year was (11.79 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 10.82 M. | |
| AXT Inc currently holds about 40.12 M in cash with (12.11 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.95. | |
| AXT Inc has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: AXT Non-GAAP EPS of -0.05 beats by 0.01, revenue of 23M misses by 1.24M |
- Analyzing AXT's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether AXT's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining AXT's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating AXT's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of AXT's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of AXT's stock. These opinions can provide insight into AXT's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Complementary Tools for AXT Stock analysis
When running AXT's price analysis, check to measure AXT's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AXT is operating at the current time. Most of AXT's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AXT's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AXT's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AXT to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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